Signal graphs
Signal evidence →Start at SET. Find a stock or global force, then inspect the links. Raw and partial correlations describe associations, not causes.
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Quick finds & selected evidence
Labels adapt to available space. Search any stock or force to inspect its connections.
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Partial correlation estimates association after controlling for other model variables. Neither view proves causation.
Filters & reading key
BIG BODY = heavy market weight — hard to move
SHORT TAUT ROPE = tight coupling — pulls instantly
SLACK ROPE = loose relation — pulls late
GRANGER p<0.05CORRELATIONAL / p<0.10SPECULATIVE (?)event layer loading…
Granger precedence and correlation are not causation. Forecasts are model pressure, not prophecy. · Granger 2026-11-02
PARTIAL layer · GraphicalLassoCV · 2026-10-30 · Sparse direct links only — transitive co-movement (e.g. via SPX) is removed.