WATCHBJC.BK
77% confBerli Jucker Public Company Limited฿16.50
Berli Jucker Public Company Limited (BJC.BK) — MoS 47% + P/E 11.3×.
- TARGET
- ฿31.00+87.9%
- STOP
- ฿15.77-4.4%
- R:R
- 19.9 : 1
WHAT TO TRADE NOW20WATCH4AVOID70% avg conf
2026-09-11 · PICKS CACHETHE FULL SCREEN →
WATCHPTTEP.BK
78% confPTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited฿154.00
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited (PTTEP.BK) — MoS 35% + P/E 8.8×.
- TARGET
- ฿237.13+54.0%
- STOP
- ฿149.84-2.7%
- R:R
- 20 : 1
WATCHPTT.BK
77% confPTT Public Company Limited฿42.00
PTT Public Company Limited (PTT.BK) — MoS 35% + P/E 9.7×.
- TARGET
- ฿64.16+52.8%
- STOP
- ฿40.56-3.4%
- R:R
- 15.4 : 1
IF YOU HOLD — WHAT THE DATA SAYS TO CUT4 candidates
AVOIDBGRIM.BK
62% confB.Grimm Power Public Company Limited฿19.30
B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited (BGRIM.BK) — overvalued (MoS -100%) + EMA 9 > 21.
- TRIM ↑
- —
- —
- —
- R:R
- —
AVOIDDELTA.BK
63% confDelta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited฿264.00
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited (DELTA.BK) — overvalued (MoS -1133%) + MACD+.
- TRIM ↑
- —
- —
- —
- R:R
- —
AVOIDCPALL.BK
69% confCP ALL Public Company Limited฿45.50
CP ALL Public Company Limited (CPALL.BK) — overvalued (MoS -36%) + -5.6% 20d.
- TRIM ↑
- —
- —
- —
- R:R
- —
GLOBAL SCANNER9BEAR4 regions
2026-09-10
🇺🇸GSPC↓
S&P 5007,591.7
- 1D-0.6%20D-2.0%RSI44CONF100%
🇺🇸IXIC↓
Nasdaq26,081.73
- 1D-0.7%20D-1.9%RSI47CONF76%
🇬🇧FTSE↓
FTSE 10010,670.57
- 1D-0.6%20D-2.1%RSI35CONF100%
🇩🇪GDAXI↓
DAX25,527.69
- 1D-0.8%20D-3.6%RSI35CONF100%
🇭🇰HSI↓
Hang Seng24,805.63
- 1D-1.3%20D-1.7%RSI41CONF100%
🇯🇵N225↓
Nikkei 22564,011.34
- 1D+0.2%20D-4.4%RSI47CONF76%
🥇GC↓
Gold4,364.5
- 1D-1.2%20D-1.0%RSI48CONF76%
🥈SI↓
Silver64.28
- 1D-5.4%20D-1.9%RSI47CONF76%
🇰🇷KS11↓
KOSPI7,033.92
- 1D-0.3%20D+6.9%RSI55CONF36%
WHAT TO WATCH4TODAY1WEEK
- EMA DOWNKBANK.BKKasikornbank Public Company LimitedEMA 9 crossed below 21
Kasikornbank Public Company Limited's 9-day EMA crossed below the 21-day. The trend has turned; a bounce to the 9-EMA is typically the exit for longs or the short entry.
- EMA DOWNBBL.BKBangkok Bank Public Company LimitedEMA 9 crossed below 21
Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited's 9-day EMA crossed below the 21-day. The trend has turned; a bounce to the 9-EMA is typically the exit for longs or the short entry.
- EMA UPRATCH.BKRatch Group Public Company LimitedEMA 9 crossed above 21
Ratch Group Public Company Limited's 9-day EMA crossed above the 21-day in the last 5 sessions — a classic trend-confirmation signal. The first pullback to the 9-EMA is often the entry.
- EMA UPBJC.BKBerli Jucker Public Company LimitedEMA 9 crossed above 21
Berli Jucker Public Company Limited's 9-day EMA crossed above the 21-day in the last 5 sessions — a classic trend-confirmation signal. The first pullback to the 9-EMA is often the entry.
- RSI HIGHPTTGC.BKPTT Global Chemical Public Company LimitedRSI 81.21815786676652 (overbought)
PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited's 14-day RSI is 81.21815786676652. A pullback to the 5- or 10-day moving average is the typical relief pattern; if it holds, the trend continues.
MARKET EVIDENCE · WHYCOLLAPSE
SET
1,605-0.65%LIVE TAPE
S&P 500
7,592-0.98%
NASDAQ
26,082-0.52%
HANG SENG
24,806-3.30%
NIKKEI
64,011-3.60%
DAX
25,528-1.99%
FTSE 100
10,671-1.48%
USD/THB
33.04+0.36%
VIX
17.2+12.55%
FEAR&GREED
50neutralas of 2026-09-11 11:23 UTC · live via Yahoo/BOT · cached cells marked
WORLD BOARDS · 90 SESSIONS · NORMALIZEDfrom price cache · comparison, not causality
Each line starts at 0 on day 1 of the window. Toggle boards on/off. Sources: yfinance → prices.json (as-of labeled per series). · SET live quote · history cached · S&P 500 live quote · history cached · Nasdaq live quote · history cached · Hang Seng live quote · history cached · Nikkei live quote · history cached
GLOBAL FORCESYield curve spread (10y−2y) leads SET by next day · strong evidence (p=0.007).
REGIMESET is Range-bound calm — mixed signals. Smaller trades, take profits near edges.
MOODMr. Market is euphoric — prices stretched. Buffett sells here. (score -8.0).
CONSENSUSMost signals point down — the desk leans bearish. (Kronos, single opinion).
FEAR & GREEDNeutral · no strong signal
AI CAPEX · HINGE NAMES · LOADING
NEWS TAPE · HEADLINES → FORCES… · signal web →
- No headlines in this batch right now.
Batches are keyword guesses that point at force-web nodes. Headlines correlate with moves; they do not prove causation.
DAYTRADERS SIGNAL DESKNO MIDDLEMAN · SYSTEMATIC DISCOUNTS
One number. One discount. One argument.
Graham: never pay full price for a business you do not understand. The diagram is the proof — not the pitch.
SYSTEM REGIME STANCEDAILY OPERATOR GUIDANCE
MANIC · prices look generous. Do not chase. Prefer sellers.
VIX 17 · not panic. Buy-the-dip signals lost to holding across 26y SET.
ANOMALY DETECTORSET VALUATION CACHE · 2026-09-11
SETSIGNAL FOCUS
THE NUMBER TO WATCH (VOL-DEV)
22.4×
The SET market P/E — Mr. Market is paying 25% above the long average (17.9×) per baht of earnings.
Watch which side closes the gap — earnings rising into the multiple, or price coming down to it. Multiples mean-revert; the timing is unknowable.
PTTEP · PAY ↔ GRAHAM №CACHE · MOS +35%
฿100 note for ฿70 = the gap you need. Amber marks what you’d pay now.
MARGIN OF SAFETYP/E 8.8 · DEF 6/7
15%30%
PTTEP · PILLARS71/100
73
60
85
VALUE
P/E · MOS
QUALITY
BUFFETT · F · Z
ENTRY
VS GRAHAM №
KILLS ITINVALIDATION
- EPS ≤ 017.44
- MOS ≤ 0%฿154.00 / ฿237.13
- DEF < 4/76/7 · D/E 0.26×
· +35% · not advice
LIVE FIELD · TAPE + FORCE FIELD
SET ↔ NASDAQ
Confirm or kill the discount. Comparison, not causality.
LEADS
MY LENS
SET◌LIVE · time unknown
1,604.52-0.65%NASDAQ◌LIVE · time unknown
26,082-0.52%SET P/ECACHED · DAILY
22.4×EXPENSIVEFEAR & GREED✕DEMO DATA · NOT TRADEABLE
50NEUTRALRELATIVE TAPE · 90 SESSIONSSET LEADS 9.4pp
SET +13.47%NASDAQ +4.04%
Normalized closes · comparison, not causality.
THE MAGIC NUMBERS · BOTH TAPESFROM THE PRICE SERIES
METRICSETNASDAQ
RSI · 14
ATR %
VOL · 20D ANN
MAX DRAWDOWN
SHARPE
52W RANGE POS
TODAY · Z-SCORE
Real numbers, both tapes · null shows as — · comparison, not a signal.
CROSS-MARKET · MOVE MONEY?SET × NASDAQ
0.15loosely tied
0.11
-6.6pp
ρ · ROLLING 30D
Holding together — recent ρ 0.30 vs prior 0.34
When these two decouple, money can cross the ocean for a reason.
Correlation and beta over the shared window · not a signal to trade.
SET tape -0.65% today · SET model pull +4.9% / 90D · keep valuation discipline
OPEN EVIDENCE →GRAHAM STABILITY RANGEFULL SCREEN →
PTTEPPTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited8.8×+35%6/7≈4/9≈0.071Fixed rules: MOS > 0 · defensive ≥4/7 · F-score ≥5/9. ≈ F-Score/Z are estimates from limited fundamentals.
BUMPS · OUT OF RANGELEDGER →
PTTModel expects PTT down 16.73% but the tape ran up 7.01% over 20 days0.2σSETModel expects SET Index down 13.04% but the tape ran up 2.16% over 20 days0.2σ
An anomaly is a question, not a trade.
NEWS · BATCHED TO FORCESFULL TAPE →
News wire loading or offline — open NEWS TAPE above for full headlinesSYSTEM · —
STATIC FALLBACK · Headlines are context, not proof. Batches point at the signal web.
ADVANCED · MARKET FORCE FIELDFULL WEB →
◐CACHED · —◐CACHED · —◐CACHED · —
BIG = HEAVY · TAUT = TIGHT · SLACK = LOOSE — TAP TO OPEN THE FULL WEB
OWNER'S ORIENTATION · PROCESSOPEN THE LONG READ
START HERE · CAPITAL MUST SURVIVE
No app can save a bad bet. A process can keep one bet from ending the game.
Protect the money you need, read the market honestly, then investigate one company at a time — as an owner, not a gambler.
PROTECT
Keep emergency cash outside the bet.FINRA suggests a 3–6 month emergency-fund goal; start with what you can.
FIND MY GAP →DISCONFIRM
Name what would prove you wrong.Look for opposing evidence before a price target. Do not use leverage with money you cannot lose.
OPEN RESEARCH →REHEARSE
Price the loss in baht before the upside.Rehearse the order, stop, and position size with paper money before real money.
REHEARSE A DECISION →GRAHAM WOULD WATCHPTTEP
35% · P/E 8.8x · 6/7 defensive tests
DID YOU KNOW?PTTEP
quality 71/100 · attention 38%
HOW TO READ THIS
These are research prompts, not buy signals. Fundamentals are simulated until filings are ingested.
OPEN THE WATCH BOARD →SAME MARKET · THREE VERDICTS
PRICE VS VALUE · SET P/E22.4x vs 17.89x
CHEAP<15FAIREXPENSIVE>20.6
VALUE · GRAHAM
DON'T BUY
Price is above value. Mr. Market is euphoric — sell to him or wait.
TRADER · MOMENTUM
RANGE
No edge from sentiment — trade levels, size small.
INVESTOR · LONG-TERM
DCA
Time in market beats timing. Keep the monthly plan, tax funds first. No lump sums at these prices.
· YOUR LENS
The data is identical. The discipline is what differs.
LIVE INTELLIGENCE · OWNER'S DESK
See the market as an owner of businesses.
Day trading here means daily discipline with enterprises — not betting tickets. Graham first; timing second; survival always.
We believe in businesses — not bets.
Entrepreneurship compounds. Gambling transfers. Graham's margin of safety is how owners stay solvent long enough to win.
READ THE CREED →ADVANCED EVIDENCE1 WATCH · 2 ODD · 2 OVERLOOKED
THE WATCH · GRAHAM'S SHORTLIST
GOOD = margin of safety + steady decade + honest books — scores ≥60 pass.
9.3 AVG P/E
T1 PASS 2
CHEAPEST HONEST SECTOR
10.5 AVG P/E
T1 PASS 3
10.1 AVG P/E
T1 PASS 1
+35%
8.8
COMPOSITE71
Margin of safety +35% — price sits below the Graham Number.
Passes 6 of 7 defensive tests.
Graham never asked you to predict. He asked you to demand evidence, then wait.
A shortlist by fixed rules · re-ranked as filings change · not a recommendation.
INDUSTRIES · SET50
INDUSTRIES · SET50· GICS classification · composite-weighted
CACHE · 2026-09-11 10:00
SECTORNCOMPMOSTICKERS
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure38Household Durables33
THE ODDITIES LEDGER
01
2026-09-10PTTMODEL DISAGREEMENT
Model expects PTT down 16.73% but the tape ran up 7.01% over 20 days
02
2026-09-10SETMODEL DISAGREEMENT
Model expects SET Index down 13.04% but the tape ran up 2.16% over 20 days
MONEYBALL · QUALITY VS ATTENTION
THE UNDRAFTED · HIGH QUALITY · LOW ATTENTION
PTTEPSTRONGEST TODAY7138%F-SCORE
CPAXT622%MAGIC
How to read it: right = the crowd is trading this name harder than its own normal right now; up = stronger fundamentals (composite 0–100). The green corner — good business, crowd elsewhere — is where Graham told you to shop. Tap any dot.
The bargains are where the crowd is not looking — Graham called them the unpopular large companies.
A quadrant is a place to start reading, not a reason to act.
SECOND LOOK · THE DECADE VS THE YEAR
THE YEAR FLATTERS
NONE IN CURRENT UNIVERSE
THE YEAR HIDES
NONE IN CURRENT UNIVERSE
One good year is a costume. Seven years is a face.
EPS HISTORY SIMULATED UNTIL FILINGS INGESTED · NOT ADVICE